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NFL 2024 Week 9 Betting – Houston Texans and New York Jets, Odds, Tips, Lines

NFL 2024 Week 9 Betting – Houston Texans and New York Jets, Odds, Tips, Lines

The Houston Texans visit the New York Jets on Thursday night (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video) to open Week 9 of the NFL.

After starting the season 2-1, the Jets have lost five straight and now have a +550 chance of making the playoffs after opening the season as slight favorites to win the AFC East .

The Texans (6-2) have won four of five games and are coming off a 23-20 victory over the Colts, who completed a season sweep in the series. However, Houston will be without Stefon Diggs, who is out for the season with a torn ACL.

The AFC South-leading Texans entered the game as 1-point favorites, but the game shifted to the Jets in their Halloween night matchup.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET


Game lines

Spread: Jets -2.5 (Open Texans -1)
Money line: Jets -130, Texans +110
Over/Under: 42.5 (open 43.5)

Distribution in the first half: Jets -0.5 (-105), Texans +0.5 (+125)
Jets total points: 21.5 (above -110/below -120)
Texans total points: 20.5 (Over +100/Under -130)


The props

Passing by

Aaron Rodgers total passing yards: 224.5 (above -140/below +110)
Rodgers total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -155)
CJ Stroud total passing yards: 224.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Stroud’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +150/Under -200)

Rush

Joe Mixon Total Rushing Yards: 79.5 (above -120/below -110)
Breece Hall Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (above -115/below -125)
Braelon Allen Total Rushing Yards: 19.5 (above -135/below +105)

Reception

Davante Adams total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
Garrett Wilson receiving total yards: 59.5 (above -120/below -110)
Tank Dell total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Dalton Schultz total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -105/below -125)
Entire reception areas of the hall: 29.5 (above -115/below -115)
Tyler Conklin receiving total yards: 24.5 (above -125/below -105)
Mixon total receiving yards: 24.5 (above -115/below -115)


Tyler Fulghum’s favorite pick

Jets Moneyline (-130)

Of course the 2-6 team is preferred over the 6-2 team, right? The Jets have been a disaster this season, but they really aren’t as bad as their record suggests. The Texans, on the other hand, are not as good as their record suggests. They have a plus-9 point lead, which suggests more of a .500 team. Additionally, the offense suffered another blow with WR Stefon Diggs’ season-ending knee injury.

The Jets’ season is probably over, but a win in this desperate situation could make a difference. I know it’s uncomfortable, but New York is preferred here for a reason. The Jets should win this game (although we’ve said that more than a few times this season). I bet they do.


Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Information

  • The Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.

  • If the Jets finish as favorites, it would be the fifth time in the Super Bowl era that a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse is favored over a team with a winning percentage of .750 or better in Week 9 or later. The previous four were 4-0 outright and 3-0-1 ATS (most recent: 2019 Browns vs. Bills).

  • The Jets are 0-4 overall and ATS against teams with winning records this season.

  • The Jets are 0-3 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3, and in their last 15 games in this role they are 3-12 ATS.

  • Three Jets games in a row have exceeded the total. Six of the Texans’ last seven games fell below the total.

  • The Texans are 5-1 ATS on the road under DeMeco Ryans (five wins in a row).

  • The Texans are 13-28-2 ATS all-time in primetime games.

  • The Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven prime-time games and 7-16 ATS in prime-time games since 2016.

  • The Jets have an 8-17 ATS since the start of last season, second-worst in the NFL (Panthers).


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